Diagnostic test accuracy of procalcitonin and C-reactive protein for predicting invasive and serious bacterial infections in young febrile infants: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Febrile infants presenting in the first 90 days of life are at higher risk of invasive and serious bacterial infections than older children. Modern clinical practice guidelines, mostly using procalcitonin as a diagnostic biomarker, can identify infants who are at low risk and therefore suitable for tailored management. C-reactive protein, by comparison, is widely available, but whether C-reactive protein and procalcitonin have similar diagnostic accuracy is unclear. We aimed to compare the test accuracy of procalcitonin and C-reactive protein in the prediction of invasive or serious bacterial infections in febrile infants. METHODS: For this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, and The Cochrane Library for diagnostic test accuracy studies up to June 19, 2023, using MeSH terms "procalcitonin", and "bacterial infection" or "fever" and keywords "invasive bacterial infection*" and "serious bacterial infection*", without language or date restrictions. Studies were selected by independent authors against eligibility criteria. Eligible studies included participants aged 90 days or younger presenting to hospital with a fever (≥38°C) or history of fever within the preceding 48 h. The primary index test was procalcitonin, and the secondary index test was C-reactive protein. Test kits had to be commercially available, and test samples had to be collected upon presentation to hospital. Invasive bacterial infection was defined as the presence of a bacterial pathogen in blood or cerebrospinal fluid, as detected by culture or quantitative PCR; authors' definitions of serious bacterial infection were used. Data were extracted from selected studies, and the detection of invasive or serious bacterial infections was analysed with two models for each biomarker. Diagnostic accuracy was determined against internationally recognised cutoff values (0·5 ng/mL for procalcitonin, 20 mg/L for C-reactive protein) and pooled to calculate partial area under the curve (pAUC) values for each biomarker. Optimum cutoff values were identified for each biomarker. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42022293284. FINDINGS: Of 734 studies derived from the literature search, 14 studies (n=7755) were included in the meta-analysis. For the detection of invasive bacterial infections, pAUC values were greater for procalcitonin (0·72, 95% CI 0·56-0·79) than C-reactive protein (0·28, 0·17-0·61; p=0·016). Optimal cutoffs for detecting invasive bacterial infections were 0·49 ng/mL for procalcitonin and 13·12 mg/L for C-reactive protein. For the detection of serious bacterial infections, procalcitonin and C-reactive protein had similar pAUC values (0·55, 0·44-0·69 vs 0·54, 0·40-0·61; p=0·92). For serious bacterial infections, the optimal cutoffs for procalcitonin and C-reactive protein were 0·17 ng/mL and 16·18 mg/L, respectively. Heterogeneity was low for studies investigating the test accuracy of procalcitonin in detecting invasive bacterial infection (I2=23·5%), high for studies investigating procalcitonin for serious bacterial infection (I2=75·5%), and moderate for studies investigating C-reactive protein for invasive bacterial infection (I2=49·5%) and serious bacterial infection (I2=28·3%). The absence of a single definition of serious bacterial infection across studies was the greatest source of interstudy variability and potential bias. INTERPRETATION: Within a large cohort of febrile infants, a procalcitonin cutoff of 0·5 ng/mL had a superior pAUC value to a C-reactive protein cutoff of 20 mg/L for identifying invasive bacterial infections. In settings without access to procalcitonin, C-reactive protein should therefore be used cautiously for the identification of invasive bacterial infections, and a cutoff value below 20 mg/L should be considered. C-reactive protein and procalcitonin showed similar test accuracy for the identification of serious bacterial infection with internationally recognised cutoff values. This might reflect the challenges involved in confirming serious bacterial infection and the absence of a universally accepted definition of serious bacterial infection. FUNDING: None.

Applying clinical decision aids for the assessment and management of febrile infants presenting to emergency care in the UK and Ireland: Febrile Infant Diagnostic Assessment and Outcome (FIDO) Study protocol.

INTRODUCTION: Febrile infants 90 days and younger are at risk of invasive bacterial infections (bacteraemia and meningitis) and urinary tract infections. Together this is previously termed serious bacterial infection with an incidence of approximately 10-20%. The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence guidance advocates a cautious approach with most infants requiring septic screening, parenteral broad-spectrum antibiotics and hospital admission. Internationally, variations exist in the approach to febrile infants, with European and North American guidance advocating a tailored approach based on clinical features and biomarker testing. None of the available international clinical decision aids (CDAs) has been validated in the UK and Irish cohorts. The aim of the Febrile Infant Diagnostic Assessment and Outcome (FIDO) Study is to prospectively validate a range of CDAs in a UK and Irish population including CDAs that use procalcitonin testing. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The FIDO Study is a prospective multicentre mixed-methods cohort study conducted in UK and Irish hospitals. All infants aged 90 days and younger presenting with fever or history of fever (≥38°C) are eligible for inclusion. Infants will receive standard emergency clinical care without delay. Clinical data and blood samples will be collected, and consent will be obtained at the earliest appropriate opportunity using research without prior consent methodology. The performance and cost-effectiveness of CDAs will be assessed. An embedded qualitative study will explore clinician and caregiver views on different approaches to care and perceptions of risk. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study was reviewed and approved by the Office for Research Ethics Committees Northern Ireland-Health and Social Care Research Ethics Committee B, Public Benefit and Privacy Panel for Health and Social Care Scotland, and Children's Health Ireland Research and Ethics Committee Ireland. The results of this study will be presented at academic conferences and in peer-reviewed publications. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05259683.

Systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the diagnostic test accuracy of procalcitonin in the diagnosis of invasive bacterial infections in febrile infants: a study protocol.

INTRODUCTION: Young febrile infants are at higher risk of invasive bacterial infections (IBIs) compared with older children. The clinical features of IBI are subtle in this cohort mandating that clinicians take a cautious approach to their initial assessment and management. This includes the measurement of blood biomarkers of infection such as C reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT). In the UK, PCT is not widely available and not recommended for routine use in hospital. This is in contrast to Europe and the USA where PCT is regularly used to assist clinical decision-making. The objective of this review and meta-analysis is to report the diagnostic test accuracy of PCT in detecting IBI in febrile infants less than 91 days old, compare its accuracy with CRP and define optimal PCT cut-off values in this cohort. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A search strategy will include MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, The Cochrane Library and grey literature. There will be no language or date limitations. Diagnostic accuracy studies compliant with STARD criteria will be considered against eligibility criteria. Abstracts, then full texts, of potentially eligible studies will be independently screened for selection. Data extraction and quality assessment, using the QUADAS-2 tool, will be completed by two independent authors and a third author used for any inconsistencies. True positives, false positives, true negatives and false negatives will be pooled to collate specificity and sensitivity with 95% CIs. Results will be portrayed in forest plots, alongside their quality assessments. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This review does not require ethical clearance. This review will be published in peer-reviewed journals and key messages will be disseminated through presentations at local and international conferences related to this field. The authors aim for this review to be completed and published in 2023.

Not so mass effect? Finding of a remarkable 'incidentaloma' in a teenager with neurofibromatosis.

A 13-year-old boy with neurofibromatosis type 1 presented to the emergency department twice in a fortnight with moderate intermittent abdominal pain, radiating to the back and associated with nausea and vomiting. He examined as a well child with a soft abdomen and minimal tenderness. A history of constipation was identified but he failed to respond to a trial of laxatives. Subsequent ultrasound abdomen demonstrated a large mass surrounding the porta hepatis. MRI further characterised a focal, non-aggressive lesion extending from his liver, encapsulating his pancreas, portal vessels and laterally displacing his spleen and left kidney. Biopsy performed at a specialist cancer treatment hospital of our reference later confirmed this to be a benign neurofibroma of a size not previously reported in the literature. He will be managed conservatively with surveillance imaging and the potential for chemotherapy should the lesion continue to grow.